HWO / evidence atlas
Catalogue cross-match · release 0.3 · 4 October 2026

Which prospective HWO stars still lack essential catalogue evidence?

A reproducible audit of 164 stars from the NASA Exoplanet Archive’s Direct Imaging ExEP Mission Star List, cross-matched to the Hipparcos–Gaia Catalog of Accelerations.

164candidate stars
104complete across four evidence categories
55missing only a WDS record
28FDR-significant accelerators without a listed planet

Interpretation boundary. Catalogue presence is not measurement quality. No WDS record is not evidence that a star is single. An HGCA acceleration does not identify a companion’s mass or nature.

01

Coverage is high—but uneven

Stellar parameters and activity are nearly complete. Multiplicity evidence, defined narrowly as a Washington Double Star catalogue record, is the dominant gap.

Bar chart: stellar parameters 164 of 164, activity 163, WDS record 109, and HGCA entry 160.
Figure 1. Per-category presence. The four categories are reported separately; they are not blended with scientific value into a target score.
Exact pattern

One gap explains most incomplete rows

Of 60 targets missing at least one category, 55 lack only a WDS record. Four lack only an HGCA entry; one lacks only activity.

Distance check

The nearby subset retains the gap

WDS-record coverage is 39/51 (76.5%) within 10 pc and 94/144 (65.3%) within 20 pc. These cumulative cuts are descriptive, not population inference.

Grouped bars showing evidence coverage within 10, 20, and 30 parsecs, alongside counts for four exact missingness patterns.
Figure 2. Cumulative distance strata and mutually exclusive missingness patterns, generated directly from the 164-row matrix.
02

Acceleration is evidence for follow-up—not classification

For 160 targets with an HGCA entry, χ² is converted to a two-degree-of-freedom survival probability. Benjamini–Hochberg adjustment is performed over those 160 non-null tests.

Ordered HGCA acceleration p-values; points are coloured by whether the archive lists a planet.
Figure 3. Forty targets cross raw p<0.01; 35 survive FDR control at q<0.01. Of these, 31 raw and 28 FDR-significant targets have no archive-listed planet.
This is not a discovery claim. “No archive-listed planet” does not mean “no companion.” Acceleration may arise from a stellar, brown-dwarf, or planetary-mass companion and requires external characterization.
03

Inspect every result

The exact source snapshots, checksums, per-target matrix, aggregate tables, and code are versioned together.

04

Scope and limitations

Primary sources: Mamajek & Stapelfeldt (2024), ApJS 272, 32; Brandt (2021), ApJS 254, 42. Full provenance and claim-by-claim validation are included in the repository.